Discussion:
Will Liberals and NDP be forced into a coalition?
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big breakthrough ?
2015-10-08 23:00:28 UTC
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Raw Message
Wow. That's the projection being made - and it may be the unintended, but very welcome breakthrough for Canada to start using coalition governments - like Europe has done for generations.

This is how the support for coalitions breaks down:
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Majority support NDP-Liberal coalition if Conservative minority

One quarter thinks party with most seats governs

TORONTO October 7th, 2015 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll(tm) among 1447 Canadian voters, close to 6-in-10 see it as appropriate for two or more parties to form a coalition in the event of a minority government (58%), . . . .
and just fewer will specifically support a Liberal-NDP coalition in the event of a Conservative minority (52%).

In terms of general approval of coalitions, Liberals (68%) and, especially, New Democrats (81%) have a much more favourable view than Conservatives (28%),
the party no one will form a coalition with.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

When it comes to a specific Liberal-NDP coalition, partisans of the two prospective partners are even more enthusiastic (72% and 83%, respectively).


[Only] One quarter supports party with most seats to govern

As many as a quarter of voters will support the party which wins the most seats in a minority as the government (26%), and this view is especially common to Conservatives (52%), but not to New Democrats (14%) or Liberals (18%), while the
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plurality, one third, will support a coalition (32% - in total, 9% among Conservatives, 38% among Liberals and 51% among New Democrats).

The customary correct answer, whomever has the confidence of the house, is the choice of one seventh (15%), and this is most common to Liberal voters (20%). Close to one fifth don't know which arrangement they would support in a minority (17%).

Read more at: http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/2408/one-quarter-thinks-party-with-most-seats-governs/
resident
2015-10-09 00:53:22 UTC
Permalink
Raw Message
Post by big breakthrough ?
Wow. That's the projection being made - and it may be the unintended, but very welcome breakthrough for Canada to start using coalition governments - like Europe has done for generations.
___________________________________
Majority support NDP-Liberal coalition if Conservative minority
One quarter thinks party with most seats governs
TORONTO October 7th, 2015 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll(tm) among 1447 Canadian voters, close to 6-in-10 see it as appropriate for two or more parties to form a coalition in the event of a minority government (58%), . . . .
and just fewer will specifically support a Liberal-NDP coalition in the event of a Conservative minority (52%).
A random sampling of public opinion does not form a government.
Here is how a government is formed;

The outcome of an election
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#election>
determines which party will form the Government
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Government>
in the House of Commons
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#House_of_Commons>
and will be the governing party
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#governing_party>
in the Senate
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Senate>.

After a party wins the most seats in an election
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#election>:

* It forms the governing party
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#governing_party>
in the House of Commons
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#House_of_Commons>.
* It becomes the governing party in the Senate
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Senate>.
* The leader of the party is appointed Prime Minister
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Prime_Minister>.
* The Prime Minister
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Prime_Minister>
advises the Governor General
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Governor_General>
about who should be appointed Speaker of the Senate
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Speaker_of_the_Senate>.
* The Prime Minister
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Prime_Minister>
advises the Governor General
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Governor_General>
on which Members
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Member_of_Parliament>
of the House and Senate
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Senate>
should be appointed to Cabinet
<http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/Education/OurCountryOurParliament/glossary-e.aspx#Cabinet>
positions.

I suspect that to change that would require a change to our
constitution, something which doesn't seem very likely at present.
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